| Abstract |
ᠬᠤᠯᠠᠨ ᠰᠢᠷᠭᠠ ᠲᠠᠭᠠ ᠤᠷᠤᠨ ᠤ 7 ᠴᠠᠭ ᠠᠭᠤᠷ ᠤᠨ ᠦᠷᠳᠡᠭᠡᠨ ᠳᠤ ᠬᠢ 1956~2013 ᠤᠨ ᠤ ᠬᠤᠭᠤᠷᠤᠨᠳᠤᠬᠢ ᠵᠢᠯ ᠤᠨ ᠲᠤᠮᠳᠠᠴᠢ ᠠᠭᠠᠷ ᠤᠨ ᠲᠤᠯᠠᠭᠠᠨ ᠤ ᠲᠤᠭᠠ ᠮᠠᠲ᠋ᠸᠷᠢᠶᠠᠯ ᠳᠤ ᠰᠠᠭᠤᠷᠢᠯᠠᠵᠦ᠂ ᠱᠤᠭᠤᠮᠯᠢᠭ ᠬᠠᠵᠠᠢ᠋ᠯᠳᠠ ᠶᠢᠨ ᠲᠦᠰᠦᠯ᠂ Mann-Kendall ᠲᠤᠷᠰᠢᠯᠳᠡ ᠶᠢᠨ ᠠᠷᠭᠠ ᠵᠢ ᠬᠡᠷᠡᠭᠯᠡᠨ ᠠᠭᠠᠷ ᠤᠨ ᠲᠤᠯᠠᠭᠠᠨ ᠤ ᠬᠤᠪᠢᠷᠠᠯᠳᠠ ᠶᠢᠨ ᠵᠢᠮᠠ ᠶᠤᠰᠤ ᠳᠤ ᠵᠠᠳᠠᠯᠤᠯᠳᠠ ᠬᠢᠪᠡ᠃ ᠰᠤᠳᠤᠯᠭᠠᠨ ᠤ ᠳ᠋ᠦᠩ ᠳᠤ᠂ ᠤᠢ᠋ᠷᠠ ᠶᠢᠨ 60 ᠵᠢᠯ ᠤᠨ ᠲᠤᠷᠰᠢ ᠠᠭᠠᠷ ᠤᠨ ᠲᠤᠯᠠᠭᠠᠨ ᠲᠤᠮᠳᠠᠴᠢ ᠪᠠᠷ 2.5℃ ᠲᠡᠭᠡᠭ᠍ᠰᠢᠯᠡᠵᠦ᠂ ᠬᠤᠪᠢᠷᠠᠯᠳᠠ ᠶᠢᠨ ᠬᠤᠷᠳᠤᠯᠠᠮᠵᠢ ᠨᠢ 0.397℃/10a ᠪᠤᠯᠤᠨᠠ᠃ ᠤᠨᠴᠠᠭᠠᠢᠯᠠᠨ 20 ᠳ᠋ᠤᠭᠠᠷ ᠵᠠᠭᠤᠨ ᠤ ᠨᠠᠶᠠᠭᠠᠳ ᠤᠨ ᠤ ᠰᠡᠬᠦᠯᠴᠢ ᠡᠴᠨ ᠨᠡᠮᠡᠭᠳᠡᠯ ᠨᠢ ᠨᠡᠩ ᠢᠯᠡᠷᠭᠡᠢ ᠪᠠᠢ᠋ᠭᠰᠠᠨ ᠡᠴᠨ 2008~2012 ᠤᠨ ᠤ ᠬᠤᠭᠤᠷᠤᠨᠳᠤ ᠲᠤᠷᠤᠭᠰᠢᠯᠠᠬᠤ ᠬᠠᠨᠳᠤᠰᠢ ᠲᠠᠢ ᠪᠤᠯᠵᠦ᠂ 2013ᠤᠨ ᠬᠦᠷᠬᠦ ᠳᠤ ᠲᠡᠬᠢᠨ ᠲᠡᠭᠡᠭ᠍ᠰᠢᠯᠡᠪᠡ᠃ ᠠᠭᠠᠷ ᠤᠨ ᠲᠤᠯᠠᠭᠠᠨ ᠤ ᠤᠯᠠᠷᠢᠯ ᠤᠨ ᠬᠤᠪᠢᠷᠠᠯᠳᠠ ᠳᠤ᠂ ᠡᠪᠤᠯ ᠤᠨ ᠤᠯᠠᠷᠢᠯ ᠤᠨ ᠠᠭᠠᠷ ᠤᠨ ᠲᠤᠯᠠᠭᠠᠨ ᠤ ᠲᠡᠭᠡᠭ᠍ᠰᠢᠯᠡᠯᠳᠡ ᠨᠢ ᠬᠠᠮᠤᠭ ᠤᠨ ᠢᠯᠡᠷᠭᠡᠢ ᠪᠠᠢ᠋ᠵᠦ᠂ ᠲᠤᠢ᠋ᠯ ᠤᠨ ᠬᠠᠮᠤᠭ ᠲᠤᠤᠷᠠ ᠲᠤᠯᠠᠭᠠᠨ ᠨᠢ ᠲᠡᠭᠡᠭ᠍ᠰᠢᠯᠡᠬᠦ ᠬᠠᠨᠳᠤᠰᠢ ᠲᠠᠢ᠃ ᠤᠷᠤᠨ ᠵᠠᠢ ᠲᠡᠭᠡᠷᠡ ᠠᠭᠠᠷ ᠤᠨ ᠲᠤᠯᠠᠭᠠᠨ ᠢᠯᠡᠷᠭᠡᠢ ᠵᠤᠷᠢᠶᠠᠨᠳᠤ ᠴᠢᠨᠡᠷ ᠲᠠᠢ ᠪᠠᠢ᠋ᠵᠦ᠂ ᠵᠠᠬᠦᠨ ᠬᠤᠢ᠋ᠨᠠ ᠡᠴᠨ ᠪᠠᠷᠠᠭᠤᠨ ᠡᠮᠦᠨᠡᠰᠢ᠂ ᠡᠮᠦᠨᠡ ᠡᠴᠡ ᠬᠤᠢ᠋ᠰᠢ ᠪᠡᠨ ᠢᠳᠡᠭ ᠢᠳᠡᠭ ᠶᠢᠡᠷ ᠲᠡᠭᠡᠭ᠍ᠰᠢᠯᠡᠭᠰᠡᠨ ᠬᠠᠨᠳᠤᠰᠢ ᠲᠠᠢ᠃ |
